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03 MAR
08 / "Recession"
Fashion and hair
styles have returned to the 1970s and it
appears the American economy may be headed
back to the decade of stagflation. GDP growth in
the last quarter of last year was a less
than anemic 1 percent, and was recently
revised downward. The growth of the American
economy is slowing to a snail's pace.
The current
forces pressuring the American economy are
not merely cyclical. In this instance all the
chickens are coming home to roost: high oil
prices, declining home values, rising
inflation, deteriorating credit markets, decreasing levels of employment,
and a currency that has dropped 40 percent
against the Euro in five years.
The Democratic
presidential candidates characteristically
have been making promises they can't keep.
The problem is that government got us in
this mess and further government involvement
can only make it worse. Tax rebates for
individuals and tax cuts for businesses
can't help us. Neither can further rate cuts
by the Federal Reserve when holding steady
on interest rates might finally serve to
buoy the dollar against foreign currencies.
Easing monetary policy has the dual negative
effect of devaluing the dollar and being
inflationary. Reducing interest rates to
stave off inflation may not be the medicine
we need in this circumstance.
However, the
federal government can increase the domestic
production of oil by drilling offshore and
in ANWAR and building new gasoline
refineries. Inflation is largely due to the
rising cost of energy and food. The Federal
Reserve can keep the discount rate at 3
percent to stop the free fall of the dollar.
And
Republicans may
not have a quick solution to our newfound
economic troubles, but we understand that
government involvement can only exacerbate
them. Politicians in Washington, DC want to
demonstrate to voters that they are doing
something to alleviate their suffering, even
if what they're doing is causing more harm.
The is not the prescription the American
economy needs.
Instead it needs
across the board tax cuts, increased
domestic oil production, and less government
regulation and spending.
If
the United States is in recession, the
majority of industrialized countries of the
world are likely to flollow suit. The United
States is responsible for 25 percent of the
world's gross domestic product.
If the United
States is to continue to compete with the
emerging economies of China, India, Vietnam,
and Brazil, we must adopt the free market
principles that led to our growth in the
first place.
The average
American consumer is beset with credit card
debt and unable to pull the economy out of
its tailspin. Consumer spending accounts for
nearly 70 percent of gross domestic product.
The nation lost
jobs in January.
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